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Western Springs vs Auckland City

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Seddon Fields
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Bevan M.
18' Event
Murati R.
Own Goal
77' Event
Zhou Tong

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Western Springs and Auckland City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Western Springs
17%
Draws
70%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Western Springs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Auckland City's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Western Springs here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 16%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs Auckland City
Matches Played 23 41
Wins 12 24
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 National League
Western Springs vs Auckland City
1:3
Nov 3, 2024 National League
Auckland City vs Western Springs
1:2
Jul 8, 2023 Chatham Cup
Western Springs vs Auckland City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Springs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhou Tong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs 15 / 100
Auckland City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs Auckland City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Western Springs scored in 87% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Auckland City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 41 matches.

Solid form: Western Springs remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Western Springs VS Auckland City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237