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Western Springs vs Auckland City

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2023 Seddon Fields
Sat, Jul 8, 2023
3 - 2
02:00 AM
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AI Match Summary

Western Springs in this Chatham Cup 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Western Springs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Western Springs
6%
Draws
90%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Western Springs haven't matched Auckland City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Auckland City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Chatham Cup 2023 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Western Springs have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 16%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs Auckland City
Matches Played 23 41
Wins 12 24
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 National League
Western Springs vs Auckland City
1:3
Nov 3, 2024 National League
Auckland City vs Western Springs
1:2
Jul 8, 2023 Chatham Cup
Western Springs vs Auckland City
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs 10 / 100
Auckland City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs Auckland City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Springs found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (23 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Auckland City conceded in 68% of 41 recent games.

Western Springs has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Western Springs VS Auckland City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC0
Melville2
Western Springs3
Auckland City2
Roslyn Wakari4
Wanaka FC3
Napier City0
Waterside Karori3
Hamilton3
Ngaruawahia AFC2
Cashmere Technical0
Christchurch3
Petone0
Wellington Olympic5
Birkenhead1
Eastern Suburbs2
Quarter-finals
Melville1
Western Springs0
Roslyn Wakari2
Waterside Karori5
Hamilton0
Christchurch3
Wellington Olympic2
Eastern Suburbs3
Semi-finals
Melville3
Waterside Karori1
Christchurch2
Eastern Suburbs1
Final
Melville2
Christchurch3