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Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix 2

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Ellis M.
67' Event
Browne O.
70' Event
Manuel J.

AI Match Summary

Western Springs in this National League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Western Springs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Western Springs
28%
Draws
22%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Western Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Western Springs at 1.88 per game, Wellington Phoenix 2 at 1.13.
  • Western Springs are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 20%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 National League
Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 National League
Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix 2
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Browne O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs 49 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs Wellington Phoenix 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WSP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Western Springs scored in 88% of their last 25 outings.

Wellington Phoenix 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Wellington Phoenix 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Western Springs VS Wellington Phoenix 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Western Springs

(Home)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0
Western Springs
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
01 Nov
Miramar
1 : 2
Western Springs
Page 1 of 5

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Away)
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0
Coastal Spirit
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birkenhead962123:1620
2Auckland City961220:1019
3Western Springs960325:1618
4Napier City952221:1417
5Wellington Phoenix 2941416:1913
6Wellington Olympic932417:1511
7Coastal Spirit932418:2011
8Cashmere Technical923416:189
9Eastern Suburbs91268:175
10Western Suburbs91179:284
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)