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Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix 2

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Seddon Fields
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Western Springs play Wellington Phoenix 2 in the National League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Western Springs averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Wellington Phoenix 2 averaged 2 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Western Springs won 2, Wellington Phoenix 2 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 9, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Western Springs and 1.06 for Wellington Phoenix 2. This points to a Western Springs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Western Springs
15%
Draws
32%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Western Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Western Springs picked up more points recently compared to Wellington Phoenix 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 22%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.09 2
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 National League
Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 National League
Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix 2
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Drake R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wallace B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs 52 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs Wellington Phoenix 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Western Springs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Western Springs & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Western Springs attacking → ← attacking Wellington Phoenix 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Springs scored in 87% of their last 23 games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Western Springs went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 38
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237