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Western Springs W vs Wellington United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Blackham N.
48' Event
Hirano R.
55' Event
Dunn C.

AI Match Summary

Wellington United W in this National League Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Western Springs W
6%
Draws
90%
Wellington United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Western Springs W lately — more wins on the board than Wellington United W.
  • Wellington United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Western Springs W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Western Springs W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs W Wellington United W
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 3.13 4.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 4.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Wellington United W
5:4
Sep 28, 2024 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Wellington United W
2:3
Oct 29, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Western Springs W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Springs W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hirano R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunn C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Wellington United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackham N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boobyer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.98
Avg xA / game 2.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs W 10 / 100
Wellington United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs W Wellington United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Western Springs W scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.67 goals when they meet.

Wellington United W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Western Springs W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Western Springs W VS Wellington United W
3.13 Goals Scored 4.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Western Springs W

(Home)
04 Jul
Ellerslie W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
31 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
Page 1 of 7

Wellington United W

(Away)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)