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Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Wanderers Football Park
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AI Match Summary

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 play Sydney Utd in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, Western Sydney Wanderers U21 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Sydney Utd averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Western Sydney Wanderers U21 won 1, Sydney Utd won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Western Sydney Wanderers U21 and 1.44 for Sydney Utd. This points to a Sydney Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
15%
Draws
47%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Western Sydney Wanderers U21 picked up more points recently compared to Sydney Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Sydney Utd
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Sydney Utd
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3:2
Jun 10, 2023 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3:6
Feb 26, 2023 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Sydney Utd
3:4
Sep 13, 2020 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer De Oliveira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 37 / 100
Sydney Utd 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Sydney Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sydney Utd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 attacking → ← attacking Sydney Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Sydney Utd let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sydney Utd lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 53
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715