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Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur FC

Australia Australia

A-League CommBank Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Talbot C.
41' Event
Duran R.
Assist: Oliveira B.
45'
Oliveira B.

AI Match Summary

Western Sydney Wanderers host Macarthur FC in the A-League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Western Sydney Wanderers at 1.63 goals for, 2.25 against; Macarthur FC at 1.13 for, 2.38 against. Head-to-head, Western Sydney Wanderers have won 3 to Macarthur FC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.69, favoring Macarthur FC. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Western Sydney Wanderers
11%
Draws
80%
Macarthur FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Macarthur FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Macarthur FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Western Sydney Wanderers.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Macarthur FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in A-League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Western Sydney Wanderers Clean Sheet 13%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Sydney Wanderers Macarthur FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
0:4
Jan 1, 2026 A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur FC
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
1:1
May 3, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Sydney Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Macarthur FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Sydney Wanderers 11 / 100
Macarthur FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Sydney Wanderers Macarthur FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Sydney Wanderers scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Macarthur FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Western Sydney Wanderers went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Macarthur FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Western Sydney Wanderers VS Macarthur FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321