Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022

Westlandia

2 - 2

Watergraafsmeer

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Bransen D.

42'

Markes J.

(Penalty)

53'

Plemper T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Westlandia

33%

Draws

40%

Watergraafsmeer

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Watergraafsmeer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Watergraafsmeer at 1.63 per game, Westlandia at 0.5.
40% — that's where the model lands on Watergraafsmeer taking it.
Regular Derde Divisie 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Westlandia Clean Sheet 11%

Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Westlandia	Watergraafsmeer
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	18	18
Goals Scored	0.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	2	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Derde Divisie

Westlandia vs Watergraafsmeer

2:2

Mar 9, 2022 Derde Divisie

Watergraafsmeer vs Westlandia

2:2

May 9, 2021 Derde Divisie

Westlandia vs Watergraafsmeer

0:0

Oct 11, 2020 Derde Divisie

Watergraafsmeer vs Westlandia

2:1

Aug 19, 2018 KNVB Beker

Watergraafsmeer vs Westlandia

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westlandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransen D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Plemper T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Burgers F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westlandia 27 / 100

Watergraafsmeer 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Westlandia Watergraafsmeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Watergraafsmeer conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Watergraafsmeer's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Westlandia's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Westlandia VS Watergraafsmeer

0.5 Goals Scored 1.63

2 Goals Conceded 2.13

83% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Westlandia

(Home)

02 Sept

Lisse

1 : 0

Westlandia

05 Aug

Excelsior Maassluis

2 : 0

Westlandia

01 Jun

Achilles Veen

2 : 0

Westlandia

29 May

Westlandia

0 : 3

Achilles Veen

19 Sept

RKAV Volendam

3 : 0

Westlandia

Page 1 of 6

Watergraafsmeer

(Away)

30 May

Watergraafsmeer

2 : 3

NEO

27 May

NEO

3 : 0

Watergraafsmeer

07 Jun

Watergraafsmeer

2 : 2

Excelsior 31

04 Jun

Excelsior 31

1 : 0

Watergraafsmeer

01 Jun

Watergraafsmeer

1 : 0

Heino

Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lisse	34	21	7	6	70:38	70
2	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	7	8	65:38	64
3	Sportlust	34	17	7	10	63:40	58
4	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	18	4	12	61:41	58
5	HSV Hoek	34	16	7	11	53:49	55
6	ACV Assen	34	14	9	11	50:42	51
7	Excelsior 31	34	14	9	11	53:47	51
8	Barendrecht	34	13	11	10	72:57	50
9	SteDoCo	34	12	9	13	49:48	45
10	Staphorst	34	13	6	15	54:56	45
11	Ter Leede	34	13	5	16	49:67	44
12	Harkemase Boys	34	10	12	12	63:62	42
13	VV DOVO	34	10	8	16	43:57	38
14	VVSB	34	10	8	16	50:66	38
15	ODIN '59	34	9	10	15	52:68	37
16	VVOG	34	10	7	17	61:82	37
17	Ajax (Am)	34	10	6	18	38:54	36
18	GOES	34	6	10	18	44:78	28

Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)

Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)

Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	OFC Oostzaan	34	18	7	9	66:47	61
2	USV Hercules	34	18	5	11	74:46	59
3	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	7	10	64:46	58
4	Gemert	34	15	12	7	75:57	57
5	FC OSS '20	34	16	8	10	62:46	56
6	Groene Ster	34	14	9	11	48:50	51
7	Dongen	34	13	11	10	56:47	50
8	UNA	34	15	5	14	60:58	50
9	HSC '21	34	15	4	15	63:52	49
10	HV & CV Quick	34	14	5	15	47:44	47
11	Blauw Geel	34	13	6	15	55:56	45
12	DEM	34	13	6	15	37:50	45
13	GVV Unitas	34	12	6	16	41:59	42
14	Watergraafsmeer	34	12	6	16	59:69	40
15	Hoogland	34	11	6	17	42:64	39
16	EVV	34	9	10	15	36:59	37
17	HVV Hollandia	34	10	5	19	38:55	35
18	Westlandia	34	8	8	18	43:61	32

Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)

Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)

Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)