Sport Picks
Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford
England
National League South The Optima Stadium, Weston 
Match Events
60'
60'
Derrick L.
63'
63'
Alexander G.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Weston-super-Mare and Chelmsford finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Weston-super-Mare carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Weston-super-Mare's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Weston-super-Mare | Chelmsford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Weston-super-Mare
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Chelmsford vs Weston-super-Mare
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Weston-super-Mare
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Weston-super-Mare Compare
Top Goalscorer Derrick L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexander G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Weston-super-Mare 42 / 100
Chelmsford 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Weston-super-Mare Chelmsford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Weston-super-Mare scored in 63% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Chelmsford conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: Weston-super-Mare stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Weston-super-Mare VS Chelmsford
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Weston-super-Mare
(Home) 19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1 AFC Totton
05 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1 AFC Totton
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 4
Chelmsford
(Away) 19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
22 Aug
Folkestone
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
