Sport Picks
Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
60'
60'
Derrick L.
63'
63'
Alexander G.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Weston-super-Mare and Chelmsford finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chelmsford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Chelmsford carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Chelmsford's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 23%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Weston-super-Mare | Chelmsford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Weston-super-Mare
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Chelmsford vs Weston-super-Mare
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Weston-super-Mare
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Weston-super-Mare Compare
Top Goalscorer Derrick L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexander G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Weston-super-Mare 10 / 100
Chelmsford 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Weston-super-Mare Chelmsford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelmsford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Weston-super-Mare scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Chelmsford conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Weston-super-Mare stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Weston-super-Mare VS Chelmsford
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Weston-super-Mare
(Home) 31 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
17 Oct
Ebbsfleet
6 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Folkestone
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2 Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Folkestone
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1 AFC Totton
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 3
Chelmsford
(Away) 02 Nov
Chelmsford
0 : 2 Farnham
31 Oct
AFC Totton
1 : 3 Chelmsford
27 Oct
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Chelmsford
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3 Tonbridge
17 Oct
Wimborne
1 : 0 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
AFC Totton
1 : 3 Chelmsford
27 Oct
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Chelmsford
17 Oct
Wimborne
1 : 0 Chelmsford
10 Oct
Chesham
0 : 5 Chelmsford
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
