Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Northern NSW Rockwell Automation Park

Charlestown Azzurri

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Weston Workers Bears play Charlestown Azzurri in the NPL Northern NSW. Weston Workers Bears are favorites here. Recently, Weston Workers Bears averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Charlestown Azzurri averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Weston Workers Bears won 1, Charlestown Azzurri won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 7, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Weston Workers Bears and 1.75 for Charlestown Azzurri. This points to a Weston Workers Bears double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Weston Workers Bears

17%

Draws

25%

Charlestown Azzurri

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Weston Workers Bears

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Weston Workers Bears picked up more points recently compared to Charlestown Azzurri.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Weston Workers Bears Clean Sheet 12%

Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Weston Workers Bears	Charlestown Azzurri
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	16	5
Draws	4	5
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	1.86	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.52	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers Bears

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Mar 7, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Weston Workers Bears vs Charlestown Azzurri

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

2:4

Jul 30, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Weston Workers Bears vs Charlestown Azzurri

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Feb 16, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers Bears

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Aug 7, 2024 NPL Northern NSW

Weston Workers Bears vs Charlestown Azzurri

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weston Workers Bears Compare

Top Goalscorer Hatfield C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Beveridge B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Charlestown Azzurri Compare

Top Goalscorer Cahill M. J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Reed C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston Workers Bears 55 / 100

Charlestown Azzurri 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Weston Workers Bears Charlestown Azzurri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weston Workers Bears Win (1)

Secondary Pick Weston Workers Bears & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Weston Workers Bears attacking → ← attacking Charlestown Azzurri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weston Workers Bears scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Charlestown Azzurri let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Weston Workers Bears went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Charlestown Azzurri lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 20

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic FC	17	11	4	2	47:21	37
2	Belmont Swansea United	17	9	5	3	40:30	32
3	Weston Workers Bears	17	9	3	5	34:29	30
4	Maitland	17	9	3	5	33:28	30
5	Edgeworth Eagles FC	17	8	5	4	34:29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36:31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas FC	18	6	4	8	35:29	22
8	Newcastle Olympic	17	4	6	7	32:30	18
9	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25:36	17
10	Valentine	17	4	4	9	15:34	16
11	Kahibah	16	4	2	10	24:38	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	17	4	2	11	24:44	14