Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wexford vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Ferrycarrig Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wexford play Finn Harps in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wexford averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Finn Harps averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Wexford won 3, Finn Harps won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Wexford and 1.25 for Finn Harps. This points to a Wexford double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Wexford
23%
Draws
28%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Wexford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Wexford picked up more points recently compared to Finn Harps.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Wexford Clean Sheet 19%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Finn Harps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:0
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Finn Harps
2:0
Mar 6, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:1
Sep 22, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:3
Aug 1, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Finn Harps
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 48 / 100
Finn Harps 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Finn Harps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wexford or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wexford attacking → ← attacking Finn Harps

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wexford scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Finn Harps let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Wexford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Finn Harps lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 26
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin22113836:2136
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Longford2277823:2728
6Wexford2276925:3027
7Kerry2267922:2725
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420