Sport Picks
Weymouth vs Chertsey Town
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Goodship B.
51'
51'
Goodship B.
56'
56'
Pollock E.
AI Match Summary
Weymouth in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Weymouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Weymouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Weymouth haven't matched Chertsey Town's recent run of results.
- Model gives Weymouth a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 19%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Weymouth | Chertsey Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Chertsey Town
5:1
Dec 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Weymouth
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Weymouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodship B.
3 Goals Assists Leader Pollock E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Robertson L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Weymouth 58 / 100
Chertsey Town 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Weymouth Chertsey Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Weymouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Weymouth scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Chertsey Town has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Weymouth remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Weymouth VS Chertsey Town
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Weymouth
(Home) 12 Sept
Hartpury University
2 : 3 Weymouth
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2 Weymouth
29 Aug
Weymouth
5 : 1 Melksham
01 Aug
Frome Town
0 : 0 Weymouth
18 Jul
Weymouth
2 : 3 Barry Town
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Weymouth
5 : 1 Melksham
18 Jul
Weymouth
2 : 3 Barry Town
18 Apr
Weymouth
5 : 1 Chertsey Town
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0 Dorchester
28 Mar
Weymouth
0 : 1 Sholing
Page 1 of 3
Chertsey Town
(Away) 12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Carshalton
31 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Chertsey Town
29 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 2 Frome Town
Page 1 of 7
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
31 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Chertsey Town
22 Aug
Sholing
2 : 4 Chertsey Town
08 Aug
Gloucester City
0 : 1 Chertsey Town
14 Jul
Egham Town
1 : 4 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
