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Weymouth vs Winchester City

England England

FA Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Weymouth play Winchester City in the FA Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Weymouth averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Winchester City averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Weymouth won 3, Winchester City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 1, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Weymouth and 1.06 for Winchester City. This points to a Weymouth double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Weymouth
17%
Draws
36%
Winchester City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Weymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Weymouth picked up more points recently compared to Winchester City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 22%
Winchester City Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weymouth Winchester City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2024 FA Cup
Weymouth vs Winchester City
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 FA Cup
Winchester City vs Weymouth
2:2
Sep 17, 2022 FA Cup
Winchester City vs Weymouth
1:3
Oct 30, 2015 FA Trophy
Winchester City vs Weymouth
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Connell K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Touray E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Winchester City Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weymouth 47 / 100
Winchester City 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weymouth Winchester City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Weymouth or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Weymouth attacking → ← attacking Winchester City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weymouth scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Winchester City let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Weymouth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Winchester City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 34
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00