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Whitby vs Blyth Spartans

England England

NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 Turnbull Ground, Whitby
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Curry M.

AI Match Summary

Whitby in this NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Whitby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Whitby
15%
Draws
42%
Blyth Spartans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Whitby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Blyth Spartans haven't matched Whitby's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Blyth Spartans taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Whitby have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Whitby Clean Sheet 16%
Blyth Spartans Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitby Blyth Spartans
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.35 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Blyth Spartans
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Blyth Spartans vs Whitby
3:4
Jul 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Blyth Spartans vs Whitby
1:2
Apr 17, 2017 NPL Premier Division
Blyth Spartans vs Whitby
5:1
Dec 26, 2016 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Blyth Spartans
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Whitby Compare

Top Goalscorer Curry M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Blyth Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitby 11 / 100
Blyth Spartans 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitby Blyth Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blyth Spartans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Blyth Spartans conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Whitby's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Blyth Spartans's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Whitby VS Blyth Spartans
1.13 Goals Scored 1.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitby

(Home)
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
29 Aug
Quorn
3 : 6
Whitby
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0
Whitby
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Blyth Spartans

(Away)
12 Sept
Wythenshawe FC
0 : 4
Blyth Spartans
05 Sept
Redcar Town
1 : 0
Blyth Spartans
29 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 0
1874 Northwich
01 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 4
Hebburn Town
06 Sept
North Ferriby FC
1 : 0
Blyth Spartans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 42 35 4 3 109:30 109
2 Worksop 42 26 5 11 96:51 83
3 Stockton 42 23 6 13 66:47 75
4 Guiseley 42 20 14 8 67:45 74
5 Ashton United 42 20 9 13 72:58 69
6 Ilkeston 42 18 12 12 69:56 66
7 Gainsborough 42 18 10 14 58:53 64
8 Morpeth 42 16 14 12 57:61 62
9 Hyde 42 14 15 13 59:63 57
10 Prescot Cables 42 16 9 17 49:54 57
11 Warrington Rylands 42 14 14 14 60:53 56
12 Workington 42 15 7 20 61:65 52
13 Bamber Bridge 42 15 7 20 65:70 52
14 Hebburn Town 42 13 13 16 60:65 52
15 Leek Town 42 14 10 18 47:55 52
16 Whitby 42 15 7 20 55:71 52
17 United of Manchester 42 12 15 15 55:62 51
18 Lancaster 42 12 15 15 52:63 51
19 Matlock 42 10 15 17 59:69 42
20 Mickleover 42 10 9 23 41:75 39
21 Basford Utd. 42 10 7 25 50:79 37
22 Blyth Spartans 42 3 9 30 38:100 18
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)