Sport Picks
Whitby vs Gainsborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division Turnbull Ground, Whitby 
Match Events
2'
2'
Preston F.
28'
28'
Simpson A.
45'
45'
Brown C.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Whitby and Gainsborough finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gainsborough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainsborough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gainsborough carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Gainsborough taking it.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Gainsborough have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Whitby | Gainsborough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Gainsborough
2:6
Feb 17, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Gainsborough
1:2
Sep 16, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Whitby
1:0
Mar 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Whitby
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Gainsborough
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Whitby Compare
Top Goalscorer Parker L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Gainsborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Beeden H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Preston F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Whitby 10 / 100
Gainsborough 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Whitby Gainsborough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Whitby scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Gainsborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Whitby has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Whitby VS Gainsborough
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Whitby
(Home) 06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0 Whitby
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3 Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4 Alfreton
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
Gainsborough
(Away) 06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
03 Oct
Gainsborough
2 : 3 Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
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