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Whitby vs Ilkeston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Turnbull Ground, Whitby
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Phuthi J.
67' Event
Rose S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Whitby and Ilkeston finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Whitby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Whitby
15%
Draws
39%
Ilkeston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Whitby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Whitby haven't matched Ilkeston's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Whitby taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Whitby Clean Sheet 13%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitby Ilkeston
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Ilkeston
2:0
Jan 13, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Ilkeston
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Whitby
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Ilkeston
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Whitby
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Whitby Compare

Top Goalscorer Phuthi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ilkeston Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitby 35 / 100
Ilkeston 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitby Ilkeston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Whitby scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Ilkeston let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Whitby stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Whitby VS Ilkeston
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitby

(Home)
31 Oct
Whitby
0 : 5
Stockton
24 Oct
United of Manchester
4 : 2
Whitby
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0
Curzon Ashton
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2
Whitby
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0
Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 6

Ilkeston

(Away)
31 Oct
Ilkeston
1 : 0
Hyde
17 Oct
Ilkeston
2 : 0
Avro
13 Oct
Gainsborough
3 : 1
Ilkeston
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5
Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 16 10 5 1 35:15 35
2 Cleethorpes 15 10 3 2 32:9 33
3 Guiseley 15 10 2 3 33:15 32
4 Curzon Ashton 16 10 1 5 30:18 31
5 Gainsborough 16 9 2 5 32:21 29
6 Avro 16 9 2 5 39:30 29
7 Workington 16 8 3 5 28:26 27
8 Warrington Rylands 15 8 2 5 27:22 26
9 Warrington Town 16 7 5 4 28:24 26
10 Bury FC 14 7 2 5 30:18 23
11 Alfreton 16 7 2 7 23:18 23
12 Lancaster 17 6 3 8 20:29 21
13 AFC Emley 17 5 5 7 19:28 20
14 Whitby 16 6 1 9 22:42 19
15 Quorn 15 4 6 5 27:32 18
16 Stockton 16 4 3 9 23:28 15
17 Hyde 16 4 3 9 15:30 15
18 Ashton United 16 3 5 8 18:21 14
19 Leek Town 16 3 5 8 31:37 14
20 Ilkeston 16 4 1 11 11:34 13
21 United of Manchester 16 2 6 8 20:27 12
22 Bamber Bridge 16 2 5 9 18:37 11
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