Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Rose S.
27'
27'
Craig J.
54'
54'
Bailey C.
AI Match Summary
Lancaster in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lancaster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Whitby
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Lancaster have won more games recently than Whitby.
- Model gives Lancaster a 29% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Whitby | Lancaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Lancaster
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Lancaster
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Whitby
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Lancaster vs Whitby
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Whitby
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Whitby Compare
Top Goalscorer Rose S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Craig J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bailey C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Whitby 26 / 100
Lancaster 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Whitby Lancaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lancaster Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Whitby found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).
Lancaster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Whitby has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Whitby VS Lancaster
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Whitby
(Home) 31 Oct
Whitby
0 : 5 Stockton
24 Oct
United of Manchester
4 : 2 Whitby
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0 Curzon Ashton
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0 Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Whitby
0 : 5 Stockton
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0 Curzon Ashton
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0 Bamber Bridge
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
Lancaster
(Away) 31 Oct
United of Manchester
0 : 0 Lancaster
24 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 0 Lancaster
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
10 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Lancaster
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
United of Manchester
0 : 0 Lancaster
24 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 0 Lancaster
10 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Lancaster
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3 Lancaster
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32:9 | 33 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33:15 | 32 |
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:21 | 29 |
| 6 | Avro | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 39:30 | 29 |
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28:26 | 27 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30:18 | 23 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 12 | Quorn | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 13 | Lancaster | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:29 | 21 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19:28 | 20 |
| 15 | Whitby | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22:42 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23:28 | 15 |
| 17 | Hyde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:30 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:21 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31:37 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11:34 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:37 | 11 |
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