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Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Murphy R.
90' Event
Vorster G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Whitehawk
30%
Draws
37%
Burgess Hill
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgess Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Burgess Hill have won more games recently than Whitehawk.
  • Model gives Burgess Hill a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Whitehawk Clean Sheet 10%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitehawk Burgess Hill
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Whitehawk
2:2
Feb 19, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill
4:1
Sep 1, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Whitehawk
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Whitehawk Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Burgess Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Vorster G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitehawk 10 / 100
Burgess Hill 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitehawk Burgess Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgess Hill has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Whitehawk scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Whitehawk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Whitehawk VS Burgess Hill
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitehawk

(Home)
26 Sept
Whyteleafe
1 : 4
Whitehawk
15 Sept
Whitehawk
3 : 2
Three Bridges
12 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
3 : 2
Whitehawk
05 Sept
Whitehawk
2 : 4
Eastbourne Borough
31 Aug
Whitehawk
1 : 1
Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 6

Burgess Hill

(Away)
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2
Winslow United
19 Sept
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Burgess Hill
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3
Burgess Hill
12 Sept
Burgess Hill
2 : 2
Ramsgate
05 Sept
Burgess Hill
0 : 0
Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
7 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 8 3 0 5 12:21 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Brentwood 8 2 0 6 13:15 6
19 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
20 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)