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Widnes FC vs Brighouse Town

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Widnes FC play Brighouse Town in the FA Trophy 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Widnes FC averaged 1.04 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Brighouse Town averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Widnes FC won 1, Brighouse Town won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 25, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Widnes FC and 1.44 for Brighouse Town. This points to a Widnes FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Widnes FC
15%
Draws
39%
Brighouse Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Widnes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Widnes FC picked up more points recently compared to Brighouse Town.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Widnes FC Clean Sheet 16%
Brighouse Town Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Widnes FC Brighouse Town
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.04 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2021 FA Trophy
Widnes FC vs Brighouse Town
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Widnes FC 45 / 100
Brighouse Town 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Widnes FC Brighouse Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Widnes FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Widnes FC attacking → ← attacking Brighouse Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Widnes FC scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Brighouse Town let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Widnes FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Brighouse Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 27
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25