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Widzew Lodz II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Czerniatowicz M.
53' Event
Kobialka M.
63' Event
Sauczek C.

AI Match Summary

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Widzew Lodz II
20%
Draws
70%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki haven't matched Widzew Lodz II's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Widzew Lodz II Clean Sheet 10%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Widzew Lodz II Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 2 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Widzew Lodz II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Widzew Lodz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Czerniatowicz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soltysinski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobialka M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sauczek C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Widzew Lodz II 30 / 100
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Widzew Lodz II Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Widzew Lodz II found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Widzew Lodz II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Widzew Lodz II VS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Widzew Lodz II

(Home)
11 Oct
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
KTS Weszlo
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2
Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
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Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

(Away)
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Olimpia Zambrow 12 5 2 5 26:27 17
8 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
9 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
10 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
11 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
12 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
13 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 12 4 1 7 21:26 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)