Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Stadion Widzewa Łódź, Lodz
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Remacle M. In: Lingr O.
Out: Remacle M.
64'
Sub
Biuk S. In: Swiderski K.
Out: Biuk S.
64'
Sub
Selahi L. In: Papanikolaou G.
Out: Selahi L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Widzew Lodz
35%
Draws
41%
Korona Kielce
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Korona Kielce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Korona Kielce lately — more wins on the board than Widzew Lodz.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Korona Kielce taking it.
  • Korona Kielce arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Korona Kielce, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Korona Kielce have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Widzew Lodz Clean Sheet 19%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Widzew Lodz Korona Kielce
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Polish Cup
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
0:1
Aug 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
1:2
May 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
1:3
Apr 11, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Widzew Lodz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Bak D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Widzew Lodz 20 / 100
Korona Kielce 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Widzew Lodz Korona Kielce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Widzew Lodz found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Korona Kielce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Widzew Lodz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Widzew Lodz VS Korona Kielce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Widzew Lodz

(Home)
26 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2
Leczna
18 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2
KS Wieczysta Krakow
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Radomiak Radom
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

Korona Kielce

(Away)
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1
Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
Widzew Lodz II -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda -
TBD -
Unia Skierniewice 2
Kleczew 3
Podhale Nowy Targ 2
Chojniczanka 0
TBD -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Radomiak Radom -
Warta Poznan 0
R. Rzeszow 1
TBD -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
Hutnik Krakow 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
Sandecja Nowy S. 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 2
Motor Lublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork -
TBD -
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
Widzew Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
Plock II -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Luzino -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow 3
LKS Lodz II 1
TBD -
Cracovia -
Zielona Gora -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Gornik Zabrze II -
TBD -
Ol. Grudziadz 5
Swit Szczecin 3
Suwalki -
TBD -
TBD -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Chemik Bydgoszcz -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Slask Wroclaw -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Leczna 2
KKS Kalisz 0
TBD -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
TBD -
LKS Lodz -
Kluczevia Stargard -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce 3
GKS Jastrzebie 0
1/32-finals
Legnica 0
Chrobry Glogow 1
Widzew Lodz II 1
Polonia Bytom 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3
Zaglebie 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda 1
Kleczew 2
Podhale Nowy Targ 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1
Avia Swidnik 3
KS Wieczysta Krakow 1
Korona Kielce II 0
Radomiak Radom 1
R. Rzeszow 0
Arka Gdynia 4
S. Rzeszow 3
Podbeskidzie 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Beskid Andrychow 1
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Motor Lublin 3
Legia 0
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork 1
Lechia Gdansk 2
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice 0
Polonia Warszawa 1
Widzew Lodz 0
Korona Kielce 1
Plock II 0
Puszcza 2
Luzino 2
Wisla Plock 3
Pruszkow 2
Cracovia 1
Zielona Gora 0
Ruch Chorzow 2
Gornik Zabrze II 3
Ol. Grudziadz 4
Suwalki 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet 5
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0
Piast Gliwice 3
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole 2
Wisla 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Pogon Szczecin 1
Leczna 4
Stal Mielec 3
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
LKS Lodz 0
Kluczevia Stargard 2
Pogon Siedlce 3
1/16-finals
Chrobry Glogow -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
Lech Poznan -
Kleczew -
Podhale Nowy Targ -
Avia Swidnik -
Radomiak Radom -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
Slask Wroclaw II -
Motor Lublin -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Lechia Gdansk -
Jagiellonia -
Polonia Warszawa -
Korona Kielce -
Puszcza -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow -
Ruch Chorzow -
Ol. Grudziadz -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Piast Gliwice -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
Slask Wroclaw -
Leczna -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy -
Pogon Siedlce -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -