Sport Picks
Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon
England
League One 2025/2026 The Brick Community Stadium, Wigan 
Match Events
35'
35'
Seddon S.
49'
49'
Ogundere I.
52'
52'
Hippolyte M.
AI Match Summary
AFC Wimbledon in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Wimbledon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Wigan haven't matched AFC Wimbledon's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Wigan Clean Sheet 68%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wigan | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
1:2
Mar 5, 2022 League One
Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Oct 23, 2021 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
0:2
Mar 16, 2021 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wigan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Hackford A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wigan 41 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wigan AFC Wimbledon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Wigan found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Wigan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wigan VS AFC Wimbledon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wigan
(Home) 25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3 Wigan
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3 Port Vale
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
19 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3 Port Vale
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
14 Apr
Wigan
3 : 0 Rotherham
11 Apr
Wigan
2 : 1 Mansfield
02 Apr
Wigan
0 : 0 Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 3
AFC Wimbledon
(Away) 28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Norwich
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
02 May
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 4 Huddersfield
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
11 Apr
Burton
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
03 Apr
Lincoln City
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
