Sport Picks

Wigan vs Aston Villa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy The Brick Community Stadium, Wigan

Wigan

3 - 2

Aston Villa U21

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Broggio B.

27'

Miller K.

Assist: Barrett C.

40'

Feeney J.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Wigan

20%

Draws

51%

Aston Villa U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aston Villa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Aston Villa U21 have won more games recently than Wigan.
51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Aston Villa U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Wigan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Wigan Clean Sheet 12%

Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wigan	Aston Villa U21
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	11
Draws	5	5
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.07	1.62
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 EFL Trophy

Wigan vs Aston Villa U21

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wigan Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Costelloe D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Reilly T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Taylor K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wigan 30 / 100

Aston Villa U21 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wigan Aston Villa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:6

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aston Villa U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Wigan scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Wigan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wigan VS Aston Villa U21

0.75 Goals Scored 2

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.86

50% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 71%

25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Wigan

(Home)

03 Nov

Wigan

0 : 0

Mansfield

31 Oct

Wigan

3 : 2

Bromley

27 Oct

Leicester

3 : 0

Wigan

24 Oct

Huddersfield

2 : 1

Wigan

20 Oct

Oxford Utd

2 : 1

Wigan

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Aston Villa U21

(Away)

27 Oct

Blackpool

3 : 2

Aston Villa U21

17 Oct

Burnley U21

0 : 1

Aston Villa U21

22 Sept

Crewe

4 : 1

Aston Villa U21

18 Sept

Aston Villa U21

2 : 2

Middlesbrough U21

15 Sept

Aston Villa U21

5 : 1

Real Sociedad B

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