Salford in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
Wigan
20%
Draws
47%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 20%Favored: Salford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
Salford have won more games recently than Wigan.
Salford are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Salford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Salford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)67.8%
Wigan Clean Sheet16%
Salford Clean Sheet12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Wigan
Salford
Matches Played
29
29
Wins
10
16
Draws
6
5
Losses
13
8
Goals Scored
1.14
1.48
Goals Conceded
1.34
1.03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2025EFL Trophy
WiganvsSalford
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wigan Compare
Avg xG / game0.92
Avg xA / game0.59
Salford Compare
Top GoalscorerTurton O.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderStockton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.31
Avg xA / game0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wigan23 / 100
Salford47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wigan Salford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickSalford Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Salford let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Wigan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Wigan found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).