Salford in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
Wigan
39%
Draws
30%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 39%Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
Salford have won more games recently than Wigan.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Salford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Salford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals19%
Over 4.5 Goals9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)67%
Wigan Clean Sheet20%
Salford Clean Sheet14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Wigan
Salford
Matches Played
29
30
Wins
9
17
Draws
6
3
Losses
14
10
Goals Scored
1.13
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.75
1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
0.75
1.00
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2025EFL Trophy
WiganvsSalford
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wigan Compare
Avg xG / game0.87
Avg xA / game0.56
Salford Compare
Top GoalscorerTurton O.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderStockton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.36
Avg xA / game0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wigan32 / 100
Salford30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wigan Salford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickSAL Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wigan scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Salford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Wigan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.