Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wigan vs Stockport County

England England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 The Brick Community Stadium, Wigan
Wigan Logo

Wigan

1 - 0
FT
Stockport County Logo

Stockport County

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
O'Keeffe C.
46'
Sub
Bailey O. In: Norwood O.
Out: Bailey O.
62'
Sub
McManaman C. In: Murray F.
Out: McManaman C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wigan in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Wigan
39%
Draws
30%
Stockport County
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Stockport County have won more games recently than Wigan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Stockport County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Wigan Clean Sheet 19%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wigan Stockport County
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 League One
Stockport County vs Wigan
4:2
Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy
Stockport County vs Wigan
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Stockport County
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup
Wigan vs Stockport County
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Stockport County
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wigan Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Stockport County Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wigan 32 / 100
Stockport County 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wigan Stockport County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wigan scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Stockport County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Wigan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wigan VS Stockport County
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wigan

(Home)
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3
Wigan
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3
Port Vale
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0
Wigan
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
19 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0
Wigan
Page 1 of 6

Stockport County

(Away)
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1
Stockport County
17 Jul
Stockport County
2 : 0
Bristol City
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1
Stockport County
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0
Stevenage
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Barrow0
Preston1
Wrexham4
Hull City3
Portsmouth1
Reading2
Gillingham1
AFC Wimbledon2
Burnley-
TBD-
West Brom1
Derby2
Cardiff2
Swindon1
Cheltenham2
Exeter0
Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
West Ham-
Everton-
TBD-
Chesterfield0
Mansfield2
Tranmere1
Burton2
Harrogate1
Lincoln City3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelsea-
Birmingham2
Sheffield Utd1
Blackpool0
Port Vale1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Barnsley3
Fleetwood Town2
Salford0
Rotherham1
Oxford Utd1
Colchester0
TBD-
Brighton-
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford1
Norwich2
Northampton0
Southampton1
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newport0
Millwall1
Coventry1
Luton0
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stoke City1
Walsall0
Blackburn1
Bradford City2
Tottenham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Accrington2
Peterborough1
Middlesbrough0
Doncaster4
Wigan1
Notts County0
Stockport County3
Crewe1
Bromley2
Ipswich1
Leyton Orient0
Wycombe1
Fulham-
TBD-
Bristol City2
Milton Keynes Dons0
Bristol Rovers0
Cambridge Utd2
Charlton3
Stevenage1
Swansea3
Crawley Town1
Plymouth3
QPR2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nottingham-
Sunderland-
TBD-
Huddersfield3
Leicester2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Manchester City-
Bolton3
Sheffield Wed4
TBD-
Leeds-
Grimsby3
Shrewsbury1
TBD-
Manchester United-
Bournemouth-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aston Villa-
1/32-finals
Preston2
Wrexham3
Reading2
AFC Wimbledon1
Burnley2
Derby1
Cardiff3
Cheltenham0
Wolves3
West Ham2
Everton2
Mansfield0
Burton0
Lincoln City1
TBD-
Chelsea-
Birmingham0
Port Vale1
TBD-
Arsenal-
Barnsley2
Rotherham1
Oxford Utd0
Brighton6
Liverpool-
TBD-
Norwich0
Southampton3
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
Millwall2
Coventry1
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
Stoke City0
Bradford City3
Tottenham-
TBD-
Accrington0
Doncaster2
Wigan1
Stockport County0
Bromley1
Wycombe2
Fulham2
Bristol City0
Cambridge Utd3
Charlton1
Swansea2
Plymouth1
TBD-
Nottingham-
Sunderland1
Huddersfield2
TBD-
Manchester City-
Sheffield Wed2
Leeds1
Grimsby3
Manchester United2
Bournemouth0
Brentford2
TBD-
Aston Villa-
1/16-finals
Wrexham2
Reading0
Burnley1
Cardiff2
Wolves2
Everton0
Lincoln City1
Chelsea2
Port Vale0
Arsenal2
Barnsley0
Brighton6
Liverpool2
Southampton1
Crystal Palace2
Millwall1
Newcastle Utd4
Bradford City1
Tottenham3
Doncaster0
Wigan0
Wycombe2
Fulham1
Cambridge Utd0
Swansea3
Nottingham2
Huddersfield0
Manchester City2
Sheffield Wed0
Grimsby1
Brentford2
Aston Villa1
1/8-finals
Wrexham1
Cardiff2
Wolves3
Chelsea4
Arsenal2
Brighton0
Liverpool0
Crystal Palace3
Newcastle Utd2
Tottenham0
Wycombe1
Fulham2
Swansea1
Manchester City3
Grimsby0
Brentford5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff1
Chelsea3
Arsenal2
Crystal Palace1
Newcastle Utd2
Fulham1
Manchester City2
Brentford0
Semi-finals
Chelsea2
Arsenal4
Newcastle Utd1
Manchester City5
Final
Arsenal0
Manchester City2