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Wil vs Bellinzona

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Lidl Arena, Wil
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ndau K.
(Penalty)
14'
Hajij M.
24'
Shala L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Wil
30%
Draws
12%
Bellinzona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wil lately — more wins on the board than Bellinzona.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Wil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Wil Clean Sheet 14%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Bellinzona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Challenge League
Bellinzona vs Wil
2:4
Mar 7, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Bellinzona
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Challenge League
Bellinzona vs Wil
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Bellinzona
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Bellinzona
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Rapp S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jacovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Bellinzona Compare

Top Goalscorer Vogt W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mayorga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 84 / 100
Bellinzona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Bellinzona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bellinzona has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Wil found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Wil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Bellinzona
2.25 Goals Scored 0.57
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
22 Aug
Wil
0 : 2
Kriens
16 Aug
Rebstein
2 : 6
Wil
07 Aug
Winterthur
5 : 0
Wil
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Bellinzona

(Away)
29 Aug
Cham
1 : 1
Bellinzona
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0
Bellinzona
18 Aug
Bellinzona
2 : 3
Basel II
14 Aug
Rotkreuz
4 : 1
Bellinzona
09 Aug
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Bellinzona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)