Sport Picks
Wil vs Etoile-Carouge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Switzerland
Challenge League Lidl Arena, Wil 
AI Match Summary
Wil host Etoile-Carouge in the Challenge League. This one's hard to separate. Etoile-Carouge have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Wil have conceded 2.03 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Etoile-Carouge slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Etoile-Carouge. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Wil lately — more wins on the board than Etoile-Carouge.
- Win probability leans Wil's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wil | Etoile-Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wil scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Etoile-Carouge has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Wil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Wil
(Home)Etoile-Carouge
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 23:5 | 28 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 26:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 22 |
| 4 | Kriens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 5 | Xamax | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Aarau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 13 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:25 | 11 |
| 9 | Wil | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18:27 | 11 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | 8 |
