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Wil vs Luzern - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Lidl Arena, Wil
Tue, Dec 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Swiss Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Wil have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Luzern's 1.93 scored and 1.69 conceded. Past meetings favor Luzern slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 2.00) back Luzern to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Wil
15%
Draws
39%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Wil haven't matched Luzern's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Wil a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Luzern arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luzern, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Luzern here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Luzern
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Wil vs Luzern
0:2
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Luzern vs Wil
2:0
Jan 12, 2017 Club Friendly
Wil vs Luzern
0:2
Jun 20, 2015 Club Friendly
Luzern vs Wil
3:0
Jan 12, 2015 Club Friendly
Wil vs Luzern
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 40 / 100
Luzern 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wil found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Luzern conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Wil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Luzern
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
17 Oct
Bulle
0 : 1
Wil
09 Oct
Kriens
1 : 1
Wil
01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0
Wil
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
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Luzern

(Away)
17 Oct
Winterthur
0 : 1
Luzern
10 Oct
Lugano
4 : 0
Luzern
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2
Luzern
19 Sept
Luzern
5 : 1
Grasshoppers
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
1/16-finals
Old Boys 1
Yverdon 2
Schaffhausen 2
Thun 3
FC Winkeln SG 0
Lausanne 7
Grenchen 0
Grasshoppers 8
Koniz 0
Bruhl SG 2
Aarau 2
Zurich 0
Rapperswil-Jona 0
St. Gallen 2
Pully 0
Lugano 4
Bulle 0
Wil 1
Winterthur 0
Luzern 1
Taverne 0
Young Boys 5
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 3
Lausanne Ouchy 3
Etoile-Carouge 0
Cham 0
Sion 2
Langenthal 2
Xamax 3
Rotkreuz 0
Servette 4
1/8-finals
Yverdon -
Thun -
Lausanne -
Grasshoppers -
Bruhl SG -
Aarau -
St. Gallen -
Lugano -
Wil -
Luzern -
Young Boys -
Basel -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Sion -
Xamax -
Servette -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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TBD -
Final
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