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Wil vs Stade Nyonnais

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Lidl Arena, Wil
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wil host Stade Nyonnais in the Challenge League. This has Wil written all over it on paper. Wil have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Stade Nyonnais's 0.93 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Wil have won 3 to Stade Nyonnais's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.75, favoring Wil. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Wil
35%
Draws
26%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Nyonnais haven't matched Wil's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Wil taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wil Clean Sheet 12%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 2
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Wil
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Stade Nyonnais
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Stade Nyonnais
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Wil
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Wil
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 38 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Nyonnais let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Wil's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Wil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Stade Nyonnais has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Stade Nyonnais
2.25 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
22 Aug
Wil
0 : 2
Kriens
Page 1 of 6

Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
21 Aug
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 8 6 2 0 17:3 20
2 Winterthur 8 4 3 1 17:7 15
3 Yverdon 8 4 3 1 14:9 15
4 Aarau 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
5 Xamax 8 4 0 4 12:14 12
6 Kriens 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Etoile-Carouge 8 2 3 3 7:8 9
8 Rapperswil-Jona 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
9 Wil 8 1 3 4 10:21 6
10 Stade Nyonnais 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)