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Wil vs Stade Nyonnais - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Lidl Arena, Wil
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Alili B. In: Ndjoko E.
Out: Alili B.
13'
Regillo M.
20' Event
Fischer P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Wil in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Wil
20%
Draws
44%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Nyonnais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Nyonnais haven't matched Wil's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Wil Clean Sheet 19%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.62 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Stade Nyonnais
5:0
May 1, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Wil
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Stade Nyonnais
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Stade Nyonnais
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Wil
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliu X.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Okafor I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 31 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Nyonnais let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Wil's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wil remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Stade Nyonnais
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
01 Nov
Wil
0 : 3
Winterthur
23 Oct
Wil
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
17 Oct
Bulle
0 : 1
Wil
09 Oct
Kriens
1 : 1
Wil
01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0
Wil
Page 1 of 6

Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
30 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 4
Stade Nyonnais
23 Oct
Winterthur
4 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
16 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 3
Basel
09 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 1
Aarau
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 12 8 4 0 23:5 28
2 Winterthur 12 7 3 2 26:11 24
3 Yverdon 12 6 4 2 23:14 22
4 Kriens 12 4 4 4 21:19 16
5 Xamax 12 5 1 6 16:20 16
6 Aarau 12 4 3 5 19:21 15
7 Etoile-Carouge 12 3 4 5 12:17 13
8 Rapperswil-Jona 12 3 2 7 18:25 11
9 Wil 12 2 5 5 18:27 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)