Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Garden D.
Assist: Yegoian I.
34'
34'
Meissen R.
Assist: Janssen S.
46'
46'
Sub
Gurbuz E. In: Vilhena T.
Out: Gurbuz E.
AI Match Summary
Excelsior in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Willem II have won more games recently than Excelsior.
- Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Willem II | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Excelsior
0:3
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Excelsior vs Willem II
1:6
Dec 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Willem II vs Excelsior
3:1
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Willem II vs Excelsior
2:0
Apr 21, 2019 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Willem II
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Willem II Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Garden D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Meissen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Willem II 10 / 100
Excelsior 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Willem II Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Willem II scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Excelsior let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Willem II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Willem II VS Excelsior
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Willem II
(Home) 19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1 Sittard
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1 Willem II
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 Willem II
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1 Sittard
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
15 Aug
Willem II
1 : 4 Nijmegen
01 Aug
Willem II
2 : 1 OFI Crete
Page 1 of 4
Excelsior
(Away) 19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
