Sport Picks
Willem II vs Heerenveen
Netherlands
Eredivisie Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Hoogma J. In: Lemmens M.
Out: Hoogma J.
61'
61'
van Aalst U.
Assist: Tjoe a On N.
62'
62'
Sub
Gurbuz E. In: van Loon P.
Out: Gurbuz E.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie game between Willem II and Heerenveen finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Heerenveen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Willem II carry the better recent record into this one.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Heerenveen taking it.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Willem II | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Heerenveen
2:2
Apr 4, 2025 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Willem II
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Heerenveen
1:2
Mar 5, 2022 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Heerenveen
0:0
Nov 21, 2021 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Willem II
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Willem II Compare
Top Goalscorer van Aalst U.
1 Goals Assists Leader Haen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Heerenveen Compare
Top Goalscorer Trenskow J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Braude O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Willem II 10 / 100
Heerenveen 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Willem II Heerenveen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Heerenveen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Willem II's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Heerenveen conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Willem II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Willem II VS Heerenveen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Willem II
(Home) 19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1 Sittard
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1 Willem II
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 Willem II
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1 Sittard
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
15 Aug
Willem II
1 : 4 Nijmegen
01 Aug
Willem II
2 : 1 OFI Crete
Page 1 of 4
Heerenveen
(Away) 19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0 Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2 Zwolle
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
16 Aug
Ajax
2 : 2 Heerenveen
17 Jul
Club Brugge
2 : 3 Heerenveen
21 May
Utrecht
3 : 2 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
