Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Willem II vs Nijmegen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Tjoe a On N.
45' Event
Tahaui A.
Assist: Bischoff C.
54' Event
Chery T.

AI Match Summary

Nijmegen in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nijmegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Willem II
35%
Draws
32%
Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Willem II have won more games recently than Nijmegen.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willem II Nijmegen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Nijmegen
1:4
May 3, 2025 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Willem II
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Nijmegen
4:1
Dec 22, 2021 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Nijmegen
0:1
Sep 12, 2021 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Willem II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Verheydt T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahaui A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chery T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willem II 34 / 100
Nijmegen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willem II Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nijmegen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:9
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willem II found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Nijmegen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Nijmegen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Willem II VS Nijmegen
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Willem II

(Home)
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1
Sittard
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
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Nijmegen

(Away)
20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1
G.A. Eagles
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 3
Feyenoord
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
3 PSV 7 5 1 1 24:10 16
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)