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Stadium Background

Willem II vs Sittard

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Willem II host Sittard in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Willem II have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Sittard's 1.57 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Willem II have won 1 to Sittard's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring Willem II. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Willem II
20%
Draws
65%
Sittard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sittard haven't matched Willem II's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Willem II Clean Sheet 11%
Sittard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willem II Sittard
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Willem II
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Sittard
0:0
Mar 13, 2022 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Willem II
1:0
Oct 22, 2021 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Sittard
1:1
May 16, 2021 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Sittard
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willem II 30 / 100
Sittard 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willem II Sittard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sittard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willem II scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Sittard has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Willem II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Willem II VS Sittard
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Willem II

(Home)
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
15 Aug
Willem II
1 : 4
Nijmegen
08 Aug
G.A. Eagles
4 : 1
Willem II
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Sittard

(Away)
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5
Ajax
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1
Cambuur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
2 PSV 5 4 1 0 18:6 13
3 Twente 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 13:7 11
5 Ajax 5 3 1 1 14:6 10
6 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
7 Sittard 6 3 1 2 12:14 10
8 G.A. Eagles 6 2 3 1 15:13 9
9 Groningen 6 2 2 2 12:13 8
10 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 9:9 5
12 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11:19 5
14 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Telstar 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
16 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
17 Willem II 5 0 2 3 5:14 2
18 Den Haag 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)