Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Tjoe a On N.
59'
59'
Sub
Romeny O. In: Zeefuik L.
Out: Romeny O.
64'
64'
van Aalst U.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie game between Willem II and Sittard finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sittard.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
30%
52%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sittard
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sittard haven't matched Willem II's recent run of results.
- Model gives Sittard a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Sittard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Willem II | Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 3.15 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Sittard
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Willem II
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Sittard
0:0
Mar 13, 2022 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Willem II
1:0
Oct 22, 2021 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Sittard
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Willem II Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sittard Compare
Top Goalscorer Brittijn P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Willem II 10 / 100
Sittard 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Willem II Sittard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sittard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Willem II scored in 91% of their last 34 games.
Sittard has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Willem II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Willem II VS Sittard
1 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Willem II
(Home) 31 Oct
PSV
7 : 0 Willem II
27 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 4 Willem II
24 Oct
Willem II
1 : 6 Cambuur
17 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2 Willem II
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1 Willem II
Page 1 of 7
24 Oct
Willem II
1 : 6 Cambuur
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1 Sittard
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
15 Aug
Willem II
1 : 4 Nijmegen
Page 1 of 3
Sittard
(Away) 31 Oct
Feyenoord
1 : 1 Sittard
28 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Sittard
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0 Excelsior
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Sittard
10 Oct
Sittard
1 : 1 Twente
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Feyenoord
1 : 1 Sittard
28 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Sittard
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Sittard
03 Oct
Genk
1 : 2 Sittard
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1 Sittard
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
