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Willikies vs All Saints United

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

All Saints United is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Willikies, backed by a win probability of 69%. Willikies averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in recent matches. All Saints United shows a form average of 3.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Willikies, 4 wins for All Saints United, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.01.25 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.10 for Willikies and 2.49 for All Saints United, suggesting the primary value lies in the All Saints United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Willikies
15%
Draws
69%
All Saints United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: All Saints United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Willikies picked up more points recently compared to All Saints United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 2.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Willikies Clean Sheet 10%
All Saints United Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willikies All Saints United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 27
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 2
Goals Scored 1 3.06
Goals Conceded 2.37 0.84

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

06.01.25 ABFA Premier League
All Saints United vs Willikies
4:0
10.03.24 ABFA Premier League
All Saints United vs Willikies
3:2
06.03.23 ABFA Premier League
Willikies vs All Saints United
0:2
08.02.14 ABFA Premier League
Willikies vs All Saints United
0:3
23.11.13 ABFA Premier League
Willikies vs All Saints United
1:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Willikies

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

All Saints United

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willikies 16 / 100
All Saints United 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willikies All Saints United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick All Saints United Win (2)
Secondary Pick All Saints United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

All Saints United will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Willikies 18%
All Saints United 55%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Willikies will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize All Saints United's early runs.

Willikies 15%
All Saints United 72%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect All Saints United to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Willikies tries to push forward.

Willikies 16%
All Saints United 69%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see All Saints United increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Willikies 17%
All Saints United 66%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Willikies's defense, opening up opportunities for All Saints United's forward line.

Willikies 14%
All Saints United 76%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect All Saints United to manage the closing stages, while Willikies searches for late drama.

Willikies 18%
All Saints United 79%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Willikies attacking → ← attacking All Saints United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willikies have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.

All Saints United have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Willikies remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

All Saints United suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 84
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Grenades18160267:1448
2All Saints United18151264:1646
3Aston Villa18121546:2437
4Old Road1897244:2434
5SAP1892754:4429
6Swetes1884629:3428
7Greenbay Hoppers1874729:3225
8Ottos Rangers1881930:4025
9Tryum1881927:3725
10Willikies1873832:2924
11Empire FC1873842:4224
12Parham1873832:3624
13Pigotts Bullets1865721:2623
14Blue Jays18311418:4810
15Liberta18131422:676
16Five Islands18031515:593