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Willikies vs Aston Villa

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa in this ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Willikies
30%
Draws
62%
Aston Villa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aston Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Aston Villa have won more games recently than Willikies.
  • Aston Villa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aston Villa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Willikies Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willikies Aston Villa
Matches Played 39 43
Wins 9 29
Draws 7 3
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 1.13 3.09
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Willikies
5:3
Dec 1, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Willikies vs Aston Villa
0:4
Apr 7, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Willikies
3:1
Dec 4, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Willikies
3:3
Feb 28, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Willikies vs Aston Villa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willikies 10 / 100
Aston Villa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willikies Aston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa let in goals in 84% of their last 43 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Willikies scored in 56% of their last 39 outings.

Recent resilience: Willikies stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aston Villa
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Willikies

(Home)
30 Mar
Willikies
1 : 2
Green City
27 Mar
Aston Villa
5 : 3
Willikies
02 Mar
John Hughes
2 : 1
Willikies
15 Feb
Willikies
2 : 2
Greenbay Hoppers
08 Feb
Grenades
5 : 0
Willikies
Page 1 of 8

Aston Villa

(Away)
26 Apr
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Green City
18 Apr
Aston Villa
9 : 0
Jennings Utd
11 Apr
Aston Villa
1 : 7
Grenades
04 Apr
Ottos Rangers
2 : 2
Aston Villa
28 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 18 16 0 2 67:14 48
2 All Saints United 18 15 1 2 64:16 46
3 Aston Villa 18 12 1 5 46:24 37
4 Old Road 18 9 7 2 44:24 34
5 SAP 18 9 2 7 54:44 29
6 Swetes 18 8 4 6 29:34 28
7 Greenbay Hoppers 18 7 4 7 29:32 25
8 Ottos Rangers 18 8 1 9 30:40 25
9 Tryum 18 8 1 9 27:37 25
10 Willikies 18 7 3 8 32:29 24
11 Empire FC 18 7 3 8 42:42 24
12 Parham 18 7 3 8 32:36 24
13 Pigotts Bullets 18 6 5 7 21:26 23
14 Blue Jays 18 3 1 14 18:48 10
15 Liberta 18 1 3 14 22:67 6
16 Five Islands 18 0 3 15 15:59 3
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)