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Willikies vs Fort Road

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2013/2014 game between Willikies and Fort Road finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fort Road.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Willikies
15%
Draws
64%
Fort Road
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fort Road

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fort Road come out ahead of Willikies on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fort Road have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Willikies Clean Sheet 14%
Fort Road Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willikies Fort Road
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Fort Road vs Willikies
4:0
Jan 10, 2014 ABFA Premier League
Willikies vs Fort Road
0:1
Oct 20, 2013 ABFA Premier League
Fort Road vs Willikies
4:3
Feb 3, 2013 ABFA Premier League
Fort Road vs Willikies
1:2
Nov 19, 2012 ABFA Premier League
Fort Road vs Willikies
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willikies 31 / 100
Fort Road 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willikies Fort Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Road's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Fort Road's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Willikies found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Willikies VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Willikies

(Home)
30 Mar
Willikies
1 : 2
Green City
27 Mar
Aston Villa
5 : 3
Willikies
02 Mar
John Hughes
2 : 1
Willikies
15 Feb
Willikies
2 : 2
Greenbay Hoppers
08 Feb
Grenades
5 : 0
Willikies
Page 1 of 7

Fort Road

(Away)
11 Apr
Old Road
2 : 1
Fort Road
05 Apr
Fort Road
4 : 0
Willikies
13 Feb
Fort Road
3 : 6
Ottos Rangers
06 Feb
Pigotts Bullets
5 : 1
Fort Road
30 Jan
Parham
1 : 0
Fort Road
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAP 18 14 4 0 43:13 46
2 Parham 18 12 2 4 38:18 38
3 Greenbay Hoppers 18 11 1 6 38:20 34
4 Grenades 18 8 3 7 34:23 27
5 Bassa SC 18 7 4 7 30:28 25
6 Fort Road 18 7 2 9 34:39 23
7 Old Road 18 5 7 6 25:23 22
8 Willikies 18 5 2 11 17:31 17
9 All Saints United 18 4 5 9 17:40 17
10 Potters FC 18 1 2 15 16:57 5
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2013/2014 (Relegation)