Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wiltz vs Jeunesse Canach

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2024/2025 Stade Am Petz, Wiltz
Sun, Jun 1, 2025
1 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Sub
Gorny V. In: Saidi N.
Out: Gorny V.
62'
Sub
Philipps C. In: Mannone Y.
Out: Philipps C.
71'
Sub
Xavi In: Aguiar F.
Out: Xavi

AI Match Summary

Jeunesse Canach in this BGL Ligue 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Wiltz
15%
Draws
49%
Jeunesse Canach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jeunesse Canach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Wiltz have won more games recently than Jeunesse Canach.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Wiltz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jeunesse Canach, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 12%
Jeunesse Canach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wiltz Jeunesse Canach
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Jeunesse Canach
1:2
Mar 12, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Jeunesse Canach vs Wiltz
1:2
Oct 29, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Jeunesse Canach vs Wiltz
4:3
May 27, 2016 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Jeunesse Canach
0:1
Mar 22, 2015 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs Wiltz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wiltz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mannone Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jeunesse Canach Compare

Top Goalscorer Desevic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wiltz 30 / 100
Jeunesse Canach 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wiltz Jeunesse Canach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Wiltz scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Jeunesse Canach conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Jeunesse Canach's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wiltz VS Jeunesse Canach
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wiltz

(Home)
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6
Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2
Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1
Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
Page 1 of 7

Jeunesse Canach

(Away)
18 Sept
SC Ell
1 : 4
Jeunesse Canach
26 Jul
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Jun
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
23 May
FC Mamer
0 : 0
Jeunesse Canach
17 May
Jeunesse Canach
0 : 5
Bissen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Bettembourg 0
Bissen 1
Wiltz 1
Jeunesse Canach 2