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Wiltz vs UNA Strassen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade Am Petz, Wiltz
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wiltz host UNA Strassen in the BGL Ligue. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. UNA Strassen have shipped 0.72 goals a game lately, while Wiltz have conceded 2.27 and scored 1.9. Head-to-head, Wiltz have won 2 to UNA Strassen's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.31) point toward UNA Strassen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Wiltz
15%
Draws
71%
UNA Strassen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNA Strassen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • UNA Strassen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UNA Strassen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%
UNA Strassen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wiltz UNA Strassen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Wiltz
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen
0:3
Apr 7, 2024 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Wiltz
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen
2:1
Mar 29, 2023 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wiltz 10 / 100
UNA Strassen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wiltz UNA Strassen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Strassen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wiltz's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

UNA Strassen let in goals in 38% of their last 32 matches.

Wiltz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wiltz VS UNA Strassen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wiltz

(Home)
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6
Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2
Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1
Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
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UNA Strassen

(Away)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
16 Sept
UNA Strassen
2 : 0
Rumelange
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
30 Aug
UNA Strassen
2 : 1
Bissen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 17:2 24
2 Differdange 8 7 0 1 19:5 21
3 Mondorf 8 6 0 2 16:11 18
4 Racing Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
5 Progres Niedercorn 8 5 1 2 13:5 16
6 Kaerjeng 8 5 0 3 23:15 15
7 Bissen 8 5 0 3 18:11 15
8 FC Residence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
9 Hostert 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 14:17 7
11 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
12 Rumelange 8 2 0 6 8:23 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 11:20 5
14 Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 14:22 4
16 Hesperange 8 0 0 8 2:30 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)