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Winchester City vs Beaconsfield Town

England England

Southern League Premier South 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Winchester City play Beaconsfield Town in the Southern League Premier South 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Winchester City averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Beaconsfield Town averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Winchester City won 4, Beaconsfield Town won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 20, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Winchester City and 1.44 for Beaconsfield Town. This points to a Winchester City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Winchester City
15%
Draws
37%
Beaconsfield Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Winchester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Winchester City picked up more points recently compared to Beaconsfield Town.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Winchester City Clean Sheet 16%
Beaconsfield Town Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winchester City Beaconsfield Town
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Winchester City vs Beaconsfield Town
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Beaconsfield Town vs Winchester City
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Winchester City vs Beaconsfield Town
4:0
Oct 24, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Beaconsfield Town vs Winchester City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winchester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Balmer O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Beaconsfield Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winchester City 46 / 100
Beaconsfield Town 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winchester City Beaconsfield Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Winchester City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Winchester City attacking → ← attacking Beaconsfield Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winchester City scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Beaconsfield Town let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Winchester City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Beaconsfield Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 39
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chesham42286883:4690
2AFC Totton422312789:4581
3Salisbury422310970:4679
4Gosport Borough422391075:4378
5Bracknell Town422151684:7168
6Merthyr Town422071585:5967
7Walton & Hersham4218111378:6765
8Hungerford4218101477:7064
9Dorchester421791666:7760
10Hendon4214161270:6558
11Winchester City4215121563:6757
12Basingstoke421581969:8353
13Poole Town421642270:7652
14Tiverton4214101864:7452
15Sholing4213101952:6349
16Swindon Supermarine4213101973:9249
17Hanwell Town4212121864:7148
18Plymouth Parkway4212121860:6848
19Beaconsfield Town421392063:7848
20Hayes & Yeading4211131859:6746
21Harrow Borough421092360:9739
22Didcot426102645:9428