Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017

Windmill

3 - 4

Crewe

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Crewe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Windmill

15%

Draws

42%

Crewe

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Windmill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Crewe come out ahead of Windmill on wins alone.
Model gives Windmill a 36% chance of winning this.
Crewe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Windmill Clean Sheet 10%

Crewe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Windmill	Crewe
Matches Played	10	30
Wins	4	11
Draws	0	1
Losses	6	18
Goals Scored	1.43	2.38
Goals Conceded	3.29	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.43	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.29	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2016 Irish Cup

Windmill vs Crewe

3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Windmill 34 / 100

Crewe 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Windmill Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Windmill scored in 67% of their last 9 games.

Crewe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Windmill VS Crewe

1.43 Goals Scored 2.38

3.29 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

71% Over 2.5 88%

57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Windmill

(Home)

08 Jan

Coleraine

6 : 0

Windmill

17 Aug

Woodvale

5 : 1

Windmill

30 Sept

Sport & Leisure

2 : 0

Windmill

19 Aug

Windmill

2 : 1

St. James' Swifts

19 Jul

Windmill

2 : 5

Banbridge

Page 1 of 2

Crewe

(Away)

22 Jul

Crewe

0 : 8

Bangor FC

20 Jul

Crewe

1 : 3

Dollingstown

18 Jul

Crewe

1 : 3

Ballymena

28 Sept

Crewe

3 : 4

Crumlin United

17 Aug

Crewe

Donegal

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

TBD -

Nortel -

St. Marys -

TBD -

Donegal 1

Oxford Stars 3

Glebe 4

Iveagh Utd 0

Portaferry Rovers 2

Silverwood 3

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Moyola 3

Craigavon City 1

Grove 6

Sport & Leisure 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Markethill 4

St. Patricks Young 5

Lurgan Town Boys 2

Laurelvale 1

TBD -

Ards Rangers -

Abbey Villa 5

Holywood 0

Saintfield 0

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Crewe 5

Chimney 0

TBD -

Ardglass -

Crumlin United 4

Shankill 0

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Sofia Farmer 2

Lower Maze 1

Banbridge 0

Limavady 2

Donard -

TBD -

Tullyvallen Rangers 0

Windmill 5

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 4

Rosario Youth 0

Dromore Amateurs 0

Queens University 14

Ballynure Old Boys 4

Foundry 1

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers -

Comber Rec 4

Brantwood 3

Ballywalter Recreation 1

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC -

TBD -

St Luke's -

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 0

Dunloy 3

Strabane Athletic -

TBD -

Dundonald 2

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Desertmartin 2

Newcastle 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown -

Killymoon -

Hanover 2

Sirocco 3

Newry City 7

Oxford Sunnyside 0

Bangor FC 2

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

Rathfern Rangers 0

Dungannon Rovers 0

U. U. Jordanstown 4

Barn -

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness -

TBD -

Bloomfield 3

Seapatrick 4

Camlough -

TBD -

Dromara -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -

Bangor Amateurs FC -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Immaculata 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart -

TBD -

Magherafelt 1

Moneyslane FC 6

Islandmagee 4

Ballymacash 1

TBD -

Killyleagh Youth -

Valley Rangers 3

Newtowne FC 1

TBD -

Seagoe -

Coagh Utd 2

Malachians 1

Banbridge Rangers 4

Derriaghy 5

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/128-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

Nortel -

St. Marys 4

Oxford Stars 5

Glebe 3

Silverwood 2

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Grove 5

Sport & Leisure 2

St. Patricks Young 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 4

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings 2

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 5

Ardglass 1

Crumlin United 2

Ballymoney 3

Sofia Farmer 2

Limavady 0

Donard -

Windmill -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Queens University 0

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Lisburn Rangers 4

Comber Rec 5

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC 1

St Luke's 4

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 8

Dunloy 0

Strabane Athletic 4

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Desertmartin 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Sirocco 1

Newry City 1

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 3

U. U. Jordanstown 2

Barn 1

Dundela 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Seapatrick 0

Camlough 0

Dromara 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2

Ballynahinch United 1

Crumlin Star 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 2

Moneyslane FC 0

Islandmagee 5

Killyleagh Youth 3

Valley Rangers 7

Seagoe 0

Coagh Utd 1

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/64-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 1

Oxford Stars 0

Glebe 0

Grove 1

Sport & Leisure 3

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 2

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 3

Ballymoney 1

Sofia Farmer 0

Windmill 2

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Comber Rec 2

St Luke's 3

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 2

East Belfast 0

Wakehurst 1

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 5

Newington FC 4

Downshire Y.M. 2

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Dromara 1

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 5

Killyleagh Youth 0

Valley Rangers 0

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/32-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 6

Grove 2

Sport & Leisure 1

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 4

Windmill 3

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 3

St Luke's 0

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart 4

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/16-finals

Dungannon 3

Dergview 0

Richhill 1

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 2

Knockbreda 1

Ballinamallard 0

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 2

Ards 0

Lisburn Distillery 1

PSNI 2

Institute 4

Ballyclare 2

Glentoran 1

Linfield 2

Coleraine 5

Carrick Rangers 1

Annagh 0

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff 1

Lurgan Celtic 0

Cliftonville 1

Ballymena 2

Portadown 2

Larne 1

Fivemiletown 0

Loughgall 3

Armagh 2

Trojans 1

Portstewart 1

Glenavon 4

1/8-finals

Dungannon 4

Dollingstown 1

Crewe 0

Warrenpoint 5

Crusaders 2

PSNI 0

Institute 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 1

Tobermore 0

Harland & Wolff 1

Ballymena 3

Portadown 2

Loughgall 1

Armagh 0

Glenavon 2

Quarter-finals

Dungannon 2

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 4

Ballymena 0

Portadown 0

Glenavon 5

Semi-finals

Dungannon 0

Linfield 1

Coleraine 2

Glenavon 1

Final

Linfield 3

Coleraine 0

Windmill vs Crewe

Northern Ireland

Windmill

Crewe

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Windmill

Crewe

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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