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Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Johnson M.
60' Event
Hubbard F.

AI Match Summary

Aveley in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Wingate & Finchley
15%
Draws
20%
Aveley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aveley have won more games recently than Wingate & Finchley.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Wingate & Finchley taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aveley here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wingate & Finchley Aveley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.41 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley
3:4
Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley
2:0
Jan 14, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley
1:0
Aug 27, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hubbard F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wingate & Finchley 65 / 100
Aveley 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wingate & Finchley Aveley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wingate & Finchley's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aveley conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Wingate & Finchley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wingate & Finchley VS Aveley
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wingate & Finchley

(Home)
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3
Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

Aveley

(Away)
29 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Aveley
25 Sept
Aveley
3 : 1
Ware
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)