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Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Whelpdale Ch.
90' Event
Lowe R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Wingate & Finchley and Burgess Hill finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wingate & Finchley
30%
Draws
27%
Burgess Hill
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burgess Hill come out ahead of Wingate & Finchley on wins alone.
  • Model gives Wingate & Finchley a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wingate & Finchley Burgess Hill
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Wingate & Finchley
3:2
Apr 27, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill
4:2
Oct 16, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Wingate & Finchley
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Burgess Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelpdale Ch.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wingate & Finchley 83 / 100
Burgess Hill 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wingate & Finchley Burgess Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wingate & Finchley scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Burgess Hill conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Wingate & Finchley has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wingate & Finchley VS Burgess Hill
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wingate & Finchley

(Home)
03 Nov
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 1
Burgess Hill
31 Oct
Lewes
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
24 Oct
Needham Market
0 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
20 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 2
Carshalton
17 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 1
Stanway Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Burgess Hill

(Away)
03 Nov
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 1
Burgess Hill
31 Oct
Burgess Hill
0 : 6
Enfield Town
27 Oct
St. Albans
3 : 1
Burgess Hill
24 Oct
Erith Town
3 : 4
Burgess Hill
21 Oct
Whyteleafe
2 : 3
Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 14 11 1 2 43:16 34
2 Welling 15 11 0 4 31:15 33
3 Eastbourne Borough 14 10 1 3 26:12 31
4 Lewes 15 8 3 4 23:18 27
5 Dartford 15 9 0 6 24:22 27
6 St. Albans 12 7 2 3 24:16 23
7 Ramsgate 14 7 1 6 29:19 22
8 Wingate & Finchley 14 6 4 4 27:26 22
9 Carshalton 16 7 1 8 23:32 22
10 Leatherhead 13 6 3 4 27:21 21
11 Chatham 14 7 0 7 27:23 21
12 Dulwich Hamlet 15 6 3 6 25:26 21
13 Burgess Hill 15 5 6 4 25:27 21
14 Aveley 15 6 2 7 25:24 20
15 Whyteleafe 15 5 3 7 26:27 18
16 Cheshunt 15 4 6 5 17:23 18
17 Maldon & Tiptree 17 5 2 10 23:39 17
18 Cray Wanderers 10 4 3 3 23:15 15
19 Brentwood 14 5 0 9 24:27 15
20 Three Bridges 14 2 3 9 24:39 9
21 Stanway Rovers 15 2 1 12 14:40 7
22 Whitehawk 15 1 3 11 14:37 6
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)