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Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Valley Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Botti G.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Wingate & Finchley and Cray Valley finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wingate & Finchley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Wingate & Finchley
35%
Draws
20%
Cray Valley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Wingate & Finchley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wingate & Finchley are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cray Valley have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%
Cray Valley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wingate & Finchley Cray Valley
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Valley
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Wingate & Finchley
4:1
Mar 29, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Valley
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Wingate & Finchley
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Top Goalscorer Botti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Cray Valley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wingate & Finchley 74 / 100
Cray Valley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wingate & Finchley Cray Valley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wingate & Finchley scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cray Valley conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Wingate & Finchley went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wingate & Finchley VS Cray Valley
1 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Wingate & Finchley

(Home)
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3
Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

Cray Valley

(Away)
29 Aug
Erith Town
2 : 1
Cray Valley
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3
Cray Valley
18 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 1
Folkestone
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Cray Valley
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)