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Winterthur II vs Mendrisio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 game between Winterthur II and Mendrisio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Winterthur II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Winterthur II
20%
Draws
50%
Mendrisio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mendrisio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Mendrisio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mendrisio a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Winterthur II Clean Sheet 16%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur II Mendrisio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
0:2
Sep 10, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
4:2
May 24, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur II 23 / 100
Mendrisio 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur II Mendrisio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mendrisio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Winterthur II found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Mendrisio has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Winterthur II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur II VS Mendrisio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur II

(Home)
17 Oct
Eschen/Mauren
4 : 0
Winterthur II
09 Oct
Wettswil-Bonstetten
3 : 0
Winterthur II
04 Oct
Winterthur II
1 : 2
St. Gallen II
19 Sept
Winterthur II
3 : 2
Freienbach
13 Sept
FC Widnau
1 : 0
Winterthur II
Page 1 of 6

Mendrisio

(Away)
17 Oct
Mendrisio
3 : 1
Kosova
10 Oct
Dietikon
2 : 0
Mendrisio
03 Oct
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Tuggen
26 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Mendrisio
20 Sept
Mendrisio
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 10 7 1 2 21:16 22
2 Tuggen 10 6 3 1 23:12 21
3 Taverne 10 6 2 2 26:13 20
4 Thalwil 10 4 4 2 16:11 16
5 Baden 10 5 1 4 21:17 16
6 Kosova 10 4 4 2 15:12 16
7 Collina d'Oro 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
8 Dietikon 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
9 Gossau 10 4 2 4 15:19 14
10 Eschen/Mauren 10 3 3 4 16:19 12
11 Locarno 10 2 4 4 12:13 10
12 Freienbach 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
13 Wettswil-Bonstetten 10 2 3 5 12:15 9
14 Winterthur II 10 3 0 7 10:18 9
15 Mendrisio 10 1 5 4 11:15 8
16 FC Widnau 10 1 3 6 8:21 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)