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Winterthur vs Lausanne Ouchy Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sartoretti M.
(Penalty)
30'
Sub
Sow C. In: Kaloga I.
Out: Sow C.
46'
Sub
Zuffi L. In: Jankewitz A.
Out: Zuffi L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Winterthur
20%
Draws
40%
Lausanne Ouchy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won more games recently than Winterthur.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 12%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur Lausanne Ouchy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 Swiss Cup
Lausanne Ouchy vs Winterthur
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Super League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Winterthur
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 Super League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Winterthur
1:3
Sep 23, 2023 Super League
Winterthur vs Lausanne Ouchy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Rohner F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur 30 / 100
Lausanne Ouchy 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur Lausanne Ouchy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winterthur's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Winterthur has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lausanne Ouchy has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur VS Lausanne Ouchy
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
30 Sept
Seuzach
1 : 4
Winterthur
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
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Lausanne Ouchy

(Away)
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)