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Winterthur vs Lausanne

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
Winterthur Logo

Winterthur

2 - 1
FT
Lausanne Logo

Lausanne

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Rohner F.
12' Event
Burkart N.
Assist: Golliard T.
14'
Zuffi L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Winterthur in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Winterthur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Winterthur
35%
Draws
37%
Lausanne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lausanne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Lausanne have won more games recently than Winterthur.
  • Model gives Winterthur a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 18%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur Lausanne
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Lausanne
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Lausanne vs Winterthur
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Lausanne
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Winterthur
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Lausanne
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Burkart N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hunziker A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lausanne Compare

Top Goalscorer Janneh O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur 49 / 100
Lausanne 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur Lausanne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lausanne has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Winterthur scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Winterthur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur VS Lausanne
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
07 Aug
Winterthur
5 : 0
Wil
31 Jul
Kriens
2 : 0
Winterthur
24 Jul
Winterthur
2 : 2
Yverdon
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
14 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Bruhl SG
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Lausanne

(Away)
08 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 2
Young Boys
01 Aug
Basel
0 : 1
Lausanne
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0
Lausanne
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Lausanne
3 : 0
Yverdon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Luzern 38 14 11 13 76:66 53
8 Servette 38 13 14 11 71:63 53
9 Lausanne 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
10 Zurich 38 11 5 22 49:72 38
11 Grasshoppers 38 8 9 21 48:74 33
12 Winterthur 38 5 8 25 44:100 23
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Challenge League (Main)