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Winterthur vs Servette

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kasami P.
18'
Ondoua G.
46'
Sub
Golliard T. In: Buess R.
Out: Golliard T.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Winterthur and Servette finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Winterthur
44%
Draws
20%
Servette
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Servette come out ahead of Winterthur on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 12%
Servette Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur Servette
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
5:3
Mar 3, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Servette
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Servette
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Winterthur
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Buess R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Servette Compare

Top Goalscorer Aye F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur 35 / 100
Servette 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur Servette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Winterthur's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Servette let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Winterthur has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur VS Servette
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
14 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Bruhl SG
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
01 Jul
Winterthur
0 : 1
St. Gallen
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Servette

(Away)
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1
Servette
11 Jul
Servette
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
04 Jul
Servette
1 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thun33242775:3774
2St. Gallen33179764:4060
3Lugano33169850:3857
4Basel331581051:4553
5Sion331313751:3552
6Young Boys331391165:6048
7Luzern3310101364:6140
8Servette339131157:5740
9Lausanne331091447:5739
10Zurich331041945:6334
11Grasshoppers33691840:6527
12Winterthur33472235:8619
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)