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Wisla II vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lazarz P.

AI Match Summary

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Wisla II
35%
Draws
40%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lately — more wins on the board than Wisla II.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wisla II Clean Sheet 17%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wisla II Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:1
May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Wisla II
4:3
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:0
Nov 22, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Wisla II
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wisla II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazarz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wisla II 15 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wisla II Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wisla II scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Wisla II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wisla II VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wisla II

(Home)
10 Oct
Wisla II
2 : 1
Jaroslaw
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0
Wisla II
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

(Away)
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)