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Wisla II vs Star Starachowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Plawinski O.
45' Event
Stefanski P.
46' Event
Gap D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Wisla II and Star Starachowice finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wisla II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Wisla II
35%
Draws
32%
Star Starachowice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wisla II come out ahead of Star Starachowice on wins alone.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Wisla II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Wisla II Clean Sheet 17%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wisla II Star Starachowice
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Star Starachowice
4:2
Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Star Starachowice
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Wisla II
4:2
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Wisla II
1:4
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Star Starachowice
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wisla II Compare

Top Goalscorer Plawinski O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gap D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Star Starachowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanislawski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wisla II 31 / 100
Star Starachowice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wisla II Star Starachowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Star Starachowice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Wisla II scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Star Starachowice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Wisla II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wisla II VS Star Starachowice
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wisla II

(Home)
10 Oct
Wisla II
2 : 1
Jaroslaw
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0
Wisla II
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 6

Star Starachowice

(Away)
10 Oct
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Star Starachowice
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2
Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3
Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)