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Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Orlen Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Wolski B.
25'
Sub
Pacheco D. In: Tavares T.
Out: Pacheco D.
31' Event
Czubak K.
Assist: Wolski B.

AI Match Summary

Motor Lublin in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motor Lublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Wisla Plock
33%
Draws
27%
Motor Lublin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Wisla Plock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Motor Lublin lately — more wins on the board than Wisla Plock.
  • Model gives Wisla Plock a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Wisla Plock Clean Sheet 12%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wisla Plock Motor Lublin
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock
1:1
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock
2:2
Jan 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock
2:1
May 5, 2024 Division 1
Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wisla Plock Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Motor Lublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolski B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Czubak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wisla Plock 38 / 100
Motor Lublin 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wisla Plock Motor Lublin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wisla Plock remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Wisla Plock scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wisla Plock VS Motor Lublin
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534